Thursday, October 20, 2011

The Final Days Or Happy Halloween?

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Tomorrow is slated to be the 'End of the World'....again....according to infamous Apocalypse prognosticator Harold Camping:

Meanwhile, we are on the verge of the potential "dark days" of October when the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes occurred according to mass mood seasonality as I've been pointing out since August. The 27th and 28th days of the lunar month, which are equivalent to Tishrei 25-26 on the Hebrew calendar, will fall on October 23rd and 24th this year, i.e., this coming Sunday and Monday. Add this to the fact that the Dow Jones Composite continues to struggle at the psychologically important 4000 mark, and one can not discount the possibility of a sudden immense crash, possibly precipitated by an historical crisis of some sort.

Finally, let's not forget that popular culture is most likely mistaken in its notion that December 21, 2012 marks the end of the Mayan calendar. According to some experts, the calendar actually ends October 28th of this year, i.e., in a week's time:

Praying that the coming week passes without incident and the only mass scares are those which we do to ourselves for entertainment on what will hopefully be a happy Halloween...

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

DJ Composite retesting 4K mark again

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Today we retested the 4000 mark in the Dow Jones Composite again and then started to reverse course:

I blogged in late-August and again in late-September that 4K on the DJ Composite is marking significant turning points in the stock market and mass mood:

Last December I examined the historical record concerning reversals from thousand marks in the Dow Jones Composite. Here's the instances I highlighted:

The 1987 stock market crash, Saddam Hussein's 1990 invasion of Kuwait, the 9/11 terrorist attacks in September 2001 and the Autumn 2008 financial crisis all coincided with reversals from key thousand marks in the Dow Jones Composite. This is the same sort of pattern observed with reversals from thousand marks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) as examined in my thesis about 'Manic-Depressive Man'.

What will the current reversal from the 4000 mark in the DJ Composite mean for the world? Obviously, we will soon find out. While most watching financial markets are focused upon troubles in Europe, my sense is that the Middle East might soon prove far more relevant to any unfolding mass panic. Why? It's all about man's "global bipolar disorder". (Consider the Middle East as the limbic system, i.e., the center of mass emotion, in the mind of man. It is a potential trigger point when conflict arises between the bipolar global hemispheres.)

Unfortunately, because everyone around me is, by my own definition, insane, almost no one comprehends the truth I've been revealing. Just consider how, at the current juncture of gross mass delusion, economic "science" is focused upon "general equilibrium", "rational expectations", "efficient markets" and stock prices following a "random walk". Could science be any further from an accurate historical assessment of man's own nature?! (And I'm the crazy one?)

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Autumn Panic Update: Final Days Or Temporary Reprieve?

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The high-risk window for an autumn mass panic that I've been warning about since August just opened with tonight's full moon:

Here's a note I sent to Robert Prechter earlier today:

Full moon is tonight. Again, between the full moon and new moon in the 7th lunar month has seen some of the largest panics in history. Market internals and the wave count suggest Oct. 4th was a major low and a multi-week rally is underway, but seasonality is still what I'm watching since this is a predominant force in mass mood swings IMHO.

As for the Elliott Wave count, a distinct five-wave pattern does appear to have developed between the early-May top and the October 4th low:

This wave count is already generally consistent with seasonality given a potentially important October low, but one still needs to remain alert as it is typically this late-October period after the full moon and into the new moon when historic panics occur.

Again, any such panic can take the form of a financial crisis and/or it can take the form of war. In this regard, I reviewed the two key historical examples today that I've been highlighting, i.e., the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and the 1973 Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War.

With regard to the October full and new moons in 1962 and 1973, we find the following:

1962 Cuban Missile Crisis: Oct. 13th full moon / Oct. 28th new moon

October 14, 1962 - A U-2 flying over western Cuba discovers missile sites. Photographs obtained by this flight provide hard evidence that Soviets have missiles in Cuba.

October 24, 1962 - Soviet ships en route to Cuba with questionable cargo either slow down or reverse their course except for one. Military forces go to DEFCON 2 the highest ever in U.S. history.

1973 Yom Kippur Arab/Israeli War - Oct. 11th full moon / Oct. 26th new moon

October 11th, 1973 - Israel attacks Syria from its positions on the Golan Heights. The Soviet Union's ambassador to the United States, Anatoly Dobrynin, tells U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger that Soviet airborne forces are on the alert to defend Damascus. Kissinger warns Dobrynin that if the Soviets send troops to the Middle East, the United States would as well.

October 24th, 1973 - A second cease-fire is put into effect, but fighting continues between Egypt and Israel. As a result, the Soviet Union threatens the United States that it will send troops to support the Egyptians. The United States puts its nuclear forces on a higher alert. The Soviet Union withdraws its threat the following day.

2011? Oct. 11th full moon / Oct. 26th new moon

While no international crisis of import has thus far erupted, one should note how today Iran was accused by the U.S. of plotting to assassinate Saudi Arabia's ambassador in Washington, D.C.:

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Is this leading up to some sort of international crisis?

Sunday, October 02, 2011


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In December of last year the following excellent documentary appeared on CBC:

The sequel to "Meltdown" is now starting to unfold. Tis the "Fall" season after all......and the DJIA just broke below the psychologically important 11,000 mark:

Meanwhile, the Elliott Wave Principle is indicating a breakdown dead ahead:

Yet, economists are still in their extraordinary delusional world of human rationality, market efficiency and general equilibrium when the condition of the global financial and economic system is utterly contrary to what they believe. But, alas, only a total lie could uphold the idea that 'greed is good'. Well....that lie is likely at its catastrophic End.

God have mercy...
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